Повышение цен на золото на протяжении последних лет с 800 долларов США за унцию в начале 2009 года до более 1900 долларов США осенью 2011 года имело все признаки экономического пузыря. В настоящее время, как это бывает со всеми резкими скачками цен на активы в отрыве от основных экономических показателей и спроса, золотой пузырь сдувается.



( Читать дальше )

This is what happens when the market prices in $1+ trillion in loose money from the Chairman, and gets a sharp stick in the eye instead.


The VWAP algo attractor comes through in the clutch:


    
Curve inversion has begun:



Stocks plunge, commodities collapse, Morgan Stanley refutes facts presented by a fringe blog, gold and precious metals are liquidated as margin calls explode, dollar soars as every bank in Europe scrambles to get its hands on every Benjamin it can get, Treasurys surge to never before seen prices even as CDS of the underlying countries soars, and the DJIA posts the third biggest weekly drop in history (and the week is not even over yet)...
...And beneath it is all is the creeping realization that the Fed's most recent global bailout action with the ECB, the SNB, the BOJ and the BOE does not start for another 20 days, or October 12, 2011. That's right: three weeks in which there is nothing in place to provide the much critical trillions of dollar that every bank in the world so desperately needs. We wish Europe all the best in pretending for 20 days that it can survive on its own, even as Greece is about to become the riotcam's favorite destination once again.

( Читать дальше )

«The Fed is done. Finished. Kaput. It literally has nothing left in its arsenal save a massive QE plan. And that will only come if there’s systemic collapse or a major bank goes under (announcing a massive QE program without catastrophe will insure that everyone, including Congress turns against the Fed in a major way).
We’ve had ZIRP, we had QE 1, we had QE lite and QE 2. We now have the Fed trying to lower long-term interest rates… at a time when Treasuries are trading at all time highs.
This is akin to buying Tech stocks in late 2000 or buying Housing stocks in late 2007. The US debt market is officially in a bubble… and the Fed wants to spend $400 billion trying to make it bigger.
This will end the way all bubbles end: with a BANG. Only this time around the BANG will involve the US, the largest economy in the world, defaulting on its debts.
Bernanke will be the one they pin this on. He and possibly even the Fed itself are finished. Bernanke willfor certain be stepping down within 12 months. Whether or not the Fed is dissolved depends on how much the politicians try to pin everything on the Fed.
Remember, only one thing kept us back from the abyss in 2008. That was the Fed. The Fed is now out of ammo for this round of the Crisis. Indeed, one could easily argue that the Fed itself is insolvent: with $50 billion in capital and $2.8 trillion in assets, the Fed is leveraged at 56 to 1. Lehman Brothers was leveraged at 30 to 1 when it went bust.
Again, the Fed is finished. The primary backstop for stocks and the financial system in general is gone. We’ve already wiped out one year’s worth of gains in a matter of weeks. And this is just the beginning. The markets are realizing that it’s Game. Set. Match for Central Bank intervention.
What’s coming will see stock market Crashes, sovereign defaults, bank holidays and bank runs, civil unrest, and more. This mess is going to make 2008 look like a picnic.»