Fitch Ratings сегодня анонсирует рейтиг по России. Ожидают понижение до «спекулятивного» BBB-.



LONDON, Jan 9 (IFR) - Two events are on the radar for EM investors today. The first is the latest jobs data from the US; the second Fitch's review of Russia.

As for Fitch's review, analysts expect a one-notch cut to BBB-, taking Russia's rating in line with S&P's. But even if Fitch did undertake a two-notch cut, 'Russia would still be classified as investment-grade credit based on most global fixed income indices' rules,' said SG, as its average rating between the three main ratings agencies would be BBB-.

SG said that the main risk to Russia comes from Moody's, which has a Baa2 rating and S&P, which holds a negative outlook on its BBB- rating. S&P's rating review is scheduled for April 17 (though it could move earlier). Moody's has yet to set an official date for its review.

SG analysts aren't hopeful of Russia maintaining its IG status for too much longer. 'We expect Russia to fall from the IG category in early April/May,' they said.