ZS

Good Sunday traders! 👋

Today I have a very short market review, explaining two forecasts of the previous week that did not realize according to my plan in New Zealand dollar (6N) and Copper (HG).

Also made my first forecast in Bitcoin (BTC) and analyzed Soybeans (ZS).

This 7 minutes video is for you today

If you have any questions, you can leave them in the comment section! Have a nice day. ☀️

Good evening, dear traders! 

Today I want to show you some interesting situations in the commodities market.

▪️ The previous week I spoke about Natural gas (NG) and we really saw a pullback after the HFT volumes. Such a picture was repeated on Friday after 2 days divergence of deltas, and for now, the potential of the uprising movement is even stronger.

We had stop-loss hunting and involvement cocktail which is the fuel for MM, hedge funds shorted 2 weeks in a row. Earlier everybody tried to buy this cheap asset, but the price couldn't go to the upside till this Bid imbalances. (Watch) 





▪️ In Crude oil (CL) the market made several Ask imbalances, and for now, is ready to make a correction to the 80.5 price level. (Watch) 

​​Hello Traders!

🔻 I see a very peculiar picture in Platinum (PL). As always: stops — rejection — involvement — rejection. And here we have 2 targets: 1020 — short term target on the 15M chart and 1060 target on the daily chart. We see how OI decrease during the last down wave. Sellers and buyers close their positions. But from the previous COT report Funds even doubled their longs from 3K to almost 7K longs, and I hope they will continue to do this at this discount. (See)

🔻Next, I expect a short continuation in Soybeans (ZS). 1770 was a beautiful sell entry point under the stopping HFT volumes level. But according to the strong effort and the low result of the delta, it was necessary to ensure who will win in this battle and somehow join the winner. Honestly, I could not do it, but it was worth it. The peak of growth in volatility and purchases of call options has already been passed and traders will continue to close their hedges. (See) 

Реализованная П/У за эту неделю

$V 9/17/21 Продажа 200 пута +$29 (59%)

$S 10/15/21 Продажа стренгла 55/95 +$80 (28%)

$ZS 9/10/21 Продажа стренгла 235/340 +$57 (85%)

Итого: +$166

Продолжаю открывать сделки с более дальними датами экспирации на будущее. На следующей неделе ожидаю увидеть $SPY у 20 EMA, что даст новые возможности для открытия позиций, при этом нужно не торопиться и быть аккуратным.

Все открытые и закрытые позиции отражены в таблице.

Новые открытые позиции на этой неделе

1 сделка

Тикер: $V
Дата открытия: 7 сентября 2021
Экспирация: 15 октября 2021
Страйк: 205
Стратегия: Продажа пута
Количество: 1 шт
Цена открытия: 1.24

Обоснование входа: Visa продолжает показывать уверенный отскок от 200 EMA. Переношу позицию на более дальнюю дату экспирации, чтобы получить большую премию и снизить гамма-риск.

На каких активах товарного, валютного рынка, а также индексах, работает стратегия дивергенции кумулятивной дельты по объему КД и агрегированной дельты по количеству тиков (сделок) КДК?