Основные данные по деловой активности выходили в среду и продемонстрировали положительные ожидания. Такая же ситуация ожидается и в сфере услуг, новый показатель прогнозируется аналитиками на уровне 56.5%:
Основной тон рынку после десяти утра по NY будут задавать спикеры ФРС и финальная речь Джанет Йеллен в 01:00 p.m.
Stocks with favorable mention: AVGO, BOX, BURL, CB, DPZ, FDX, GSK, NDSN, PAH, XPO
Stocks with unfavorable mention: ASX, CAT, PRU, PZZA, SNAP, ZTO
Market Updates:
US Econ Data
Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended weaker on Friday with equities appearing to decline in tandem with the weakness seen on Wall Street on Thursday. There were a handful of data points out of the region, but most of the news was of no consequence to the markets, with benign reactions to each release. The yen saw modest strength against the dollar during the session, but has since reverted back to just little changed. The volatility in the currency was minimal, with the USDJPY only seeing about a 40 pip range overnight. Traders in China also appeared to take a cautious approach to the equity markets, particularly with the People's Political Consultative Conference starting today (occurs every 5 years).
---Equity Markets---
---FX---
RBC Capital Mkts raises their BURL tgt to $97 from $91. They continue to be impressed by the improvements BURL has made in the business model, which are once again reflected in Q4/ FY16 results. They expect both revenues and profitability to improve with share gains and operational improvements. As such, they expect BURL to grow EPS at high teens-20% rate next few years and reiterate OP.
SCYX -27% at seven month low premarket.
Upgrades:
Downgrades:
Miscellaneous:
— Shares of MRVL +4% pre-market.
Gapping down: SCYX -26.9%, AOBC -7.9%, CGG -6.9%, RGLS -4.5%, COST -4.3%, BLDR -2.6%, AU -2.4%, HMY -2.4%, AMD -2.2%, SBGL -1.6%, GPRO -1.5%, ABX -1.1%, GDX -1.0%
Treasuries Slide Again Ahead of ISM Services
— Shares of MRVL +3.3% pre-market.
Equity futures trade flat this morning following Thursday's mild pullback and ahead of comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who will speak today at 1:00 pm ET. The S&P 500 futures trade two points below fair value.
The Fed funds futures market now assigns an implied probability of 77.5% to a March rate hike, up from 26.6% last Friday, following hawkish comments from New York Fed President Dudely (FOMC voter) and Fed Governor Brainard (FOMC voter) earlier in the week. All eyes will be on Ms. Yellen this afternoon, looking for her to confirm the possibility of policy tightening before the Fed enters the blackout period ahead of the March 14-15 meeting.
Also of note, Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC voter), Richmond Fed President Lacker (non-FOMC voter), Fed Governor Powell (FOMC voter), and Fed Vice Chair Fischer (FOMC voter) are also scheduled to speak on Friday.
U.S. Treasuries trade lower this morning along with the U.S. dollar. The benchmark 10-yr yield is two basis points higher at 2.50% while the U.S. Dollar Index (101.86, -0.29) is down 0.3%.
Crude oil trades flat in early action following its 2.3% slide on Thursday. For the week, the energy component shows a loss of 2.5% as an uptick in U.S. drilling has overshadowed strong OPEC supply cut compliance. WTI crude currently trades at $52.64/bbl.
Friday's lone economic report, February ISM Services (Briefing.com consensus 56.5%), will cross the wires at 10:00 am ET.
In U.S. corporate news:
Reviewing overnight developments:
European bourses opened lower but have managed to pull off of the early session lows. The major indices initially trading with a similar tone as Asia, but buyers stepped in a couple of hours into the session. Although there was no clear catalyst to point to the bid in the markets, traders may have been enticed by a relatively weak set of macro-related releases across the region. Among the most notable events were weaker than expected Services PMI readings, coupled with a miss in German Retail Sales. Corporate earnings slowed down considerably, leaving regional economic data to take center stage overnight.
---Equity Markets---
Eurozone Service Sector Activity Remains Strong
Shares are trading 1.6% lower in pre-market trading
Wall Street is poised for a flat open on Friday as the S&P 500 futures trade one point below fair value.
After a relatively flat start to the week, the major averages surged to new record highs on Wednesday following President Trump's first address to Congress on Tuesday evening. The president provided very little 'new' information in his speech, but he did sound very 'presidential', proving that his controversial style can be toned-down when need be.
Investors took some money off the table on Thursday after the stock market's big Wednesday advance, leaving the S&P 500 with a 0.6% week-to-date gain coming into Friday's session.
WING shares are currently down ~7% around the 25 level following the comps miss. Short interest as % of float was ~23% as of February 15 according to Factset.
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
Select EU financial related names showing strength:
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher:
Other news:
Analyst comments:
Filings:
Pricings:
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
Other news:
Analyst comments:
Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:
Select EU financial related names showing strength:
Select metals/mining stocks trading higher:
Other news:
Analyst comments:
Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance:
Other news:
Analyst comments:
The S&P 500 futures trade two points below fair value.
Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended weaker on Friday with equities appearing to decline in tandem with the weakness seen on Wall Street on Thursday. There were a handful of data points out of the region, but most of the news was of no consequence to the markets, with benign reactions to each release. The yen saw modest strength against the dollar during the session, but has since reverted back to just little changed. The volatility in the currency was minimal, with the USDJPY only seeing about a 40 pip range overnight. Traders in China also appeared to take a cautious approach to the equity markets, particularly with the People's Political Consultative Conference starting today (occurs every 5 years).
---Equity Markets---
European bourses opened lower but have managed to pull off of the early session lows. The major indices initially trading with a similar tone as Asia, but buyers stepped in a couple of hours into the session. Although there was no clear catalyst to point to the bid in the markets, traders may have been enticed by a relatively weak set of macro-related releases across the region. Among the most notable events were weaker than expected Services PMI readings, coupled with a miss in German Retail Sales. Corporate earnings slowed down considerably, leaving regional economic data to take center stage overnight.
---Equity Markets---
Equity futures point to a flat open this morning as investors await comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who is scheduled to speak this afternoon at 1:00 pm ET. The S&P 500 futures currently trade in line with fair value.
Ms. Yellen's upcoming speech has generated the most buzz this morning as market participants have geared up for a March rate hike as of late following hawkish comments from several Fed policy makers earlier in the week. Investors will be watching Ms. Yellen closely, looking for her to confirm the possibility of policy tightening before the Fed enters the blackout period ahead of the March 14-15 meeting.
Also of note, Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC voter), Richmond Fed President Lacker (non-FOMC voter), Fed Governor Powell (FOMC voter), and Fed Vice Chair Fischer (FOMC voter) are also scheduled to speak on Friday.
Both the Treasury market and the U.S. dollar trade in the red this morning ahead of today's slew of Fed speakers. The benchmark 10-yr yield is one basis point higher at 2.49% while the U.S. Dollar Index (101.84, -0.32) trades lower by 0.3%.
On the earnings front, Costco (COST 170.92, -7.06) has tumbled 4.0% in pre-market trade after reporting worse than expected earnings. Conversely, Big Lots (BIG 54.85, +2.60) has jumped 5.0% after beating earnings estimates and issuing above-consensus earnings guidance. BIG also approved a $150 million share repurchase and raised its dividend.
Friday's lone economic report, February ISM Services (Briefing.com consensus 56.5%), will cross the wires at 10:00 am ET.
The S&P 500 opens Friday's session relatively flat while the Dow (+0.1%) holds a slim gain.
Cyclical sectors generally trade in the green with the financial space (+0.4%) showing relative strength. On the flip side, most countercyclical groups hold modest losses with the consumer staples sector (-0.5%) pacing the retreat after a negative reaction to Costco's (COST 170.86, -6.97) worse than expected earnings.
The Treasury market remains under water in early action. The benchmark 10-yr yield is up one basis point at 2.49%.
Shares of COST are down approx 3% in reaction to earnings and are attempting to hold the $170 level for support.
The tech sector — XLK — trades about in-line with the broader market. Semiconductors, meanwhile, display relative weakness as the SOX index trades -0.48%. Within the SOX index, MU (+2.00%) outperforms, while AMD (-5.61%) lags. Among other major indices, the SPY is trading 0.21% lower, while the QQQ -0.30% and the NASDAQ -0.56% trade modestly lower on the session. Among tech bellwethers, ORAN (+1.33%) is showing relative strength, while ACN (-0.94%) lags.
Notable gainers following earnings:
Notable laggards following earnings:
Gainers on news:
Laggards on news:
Among notable analyst upgrades:
Among notable analyst downgrades:
Scheduled to report earnings tomorrow morning:
Economic Data Summary:
Fed/Treasury Events Summary:
Upcoming Economic Data:
Upcoming Fed/Treasury Events:
Other International Events of Interest
Taking an early look at the options market, we found the following names that may be worth watching throughout the day for further indication of investor expectations given their options volume and implied volatility movement.
Stocks seeing volatility buying (bullish call buying/bearish put buying):
Calls:
Puts:
Stocks seeing volatility selling:
Sentiment: The CBOE Put/Call ratio is currently: 0.78… VIX: (11.36, -0.45, -3.8%).
March 17 is options expiration — the last day to trade March equity options.
*Please use the Talk to Us link at the top of the page to provide feedback on this comment as well as the OPTNX comments.
The following are some of today's most notable movers of interest, categorized by market capitalization (large cap over $10 billion and mid cap between $2-10 billion) and ranked by % change (all stocks over 100K average daily volume).
Large Cap Gainers
Large Cap Losers
Mid Cap Gainers
Mid Cap Losers
Rumor Activity was active today to close out the week.
While many rumors circulate during the day, and the validity of the source of these rumors can be questionable, the speculation may increase volatility in the near term
Stocks that traded to 52 week lows: AFH, AOBC, BKS, BONT, BRX, CATO, CDR, CERC, CMLS, COSIQ, COYN, DAC, DIN, DRYS, DXLG, EAT, EVEP, FOSL, FRT, FSC, GBSN, GEC, HTY, IPXL, JASN, KIM, KRG, LTRPA, MAC, MHI, MNKD, MRIN, PEI, PPP, PSTG, RGSE, RPT, SHIP, SNCR, SQBG, SYNT, TGT, TST, TUES, ULTRQ, VDSI, VRA, WAIR, WMIH, WPRT, YGE, ZOES
Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week highs on High Volume: ACV, BANX, EQS, MFV, MGIC, MGYR, QINC, SCKT, SGF, UBND
Thinly-Traded Stocks (ADV below 45k) that traded to 52 week lows on High Volume: AEMD, CGG, DHXM, HSON, NHA, PNI, REFR, SGMA, SRSC, VISN
ETFs that traded to 52 week highs: EWN, EWQ, EZU
Today's top 20 % gainers
- Healthcare: NOVN (6.5 +9.43%), PDLI (2.2 +7.6%), FOLD (7.93 +6.73%), LXRX (15.94 +5.77%), CYH (9.59 +4.87%), THC (20.05 +4.86%), SRPT (34.13 +4.6%), PBYI (34.2 +4.27%), EXEL (22.92 +4.23%), FMI (27.15 +4.22%)
- Materials: ASIX (29.41 +9.05%)
- Consumer Discretionary: EVC (6.08 +9.46%), GNC (8.4 +5.53%), TPX (48.01 +4.8%), TEDU (16.25 +4.77%)
- Information Technology: BITA (22.18 +11.12%), OCLR (9.37 +5.46%)
- Energy: WTI (2.93 +5.02%)
- Consumer Staples: STKL (6.78 +11.07%)
- Telecommunication Services: I (3.86 +5.75%)
Today's top 20 % losersToday's top 20 volume
- Healthcare: VRX (14.84 mln -4.58%)
- Materials: VALE (10.7 mln +1.41%), ABX (10.09 mln -0.22%), FCX (7.71 mln -0.83%), MT (7.31 mln +0.34%)
- Industrials: GE (7.35 mln -0.27%)
- Consumer Discretionary: F (10.09 mln -0.67%)
- Information Technology: AMD (100.77 mln -4.53%), MU (22.06 mln +3.32%), NVDA (12.19 mln -0.61%), TWTR (8.76 mln -0.06%), MRVL (8.54 mln +2.05%), P (7.11 mln +2.82%)
- Financials: BAC (35.22 mln +1.07%)
- Energy: CHK (15.11 mln +1.01%), SDRL (7.12 mln -4.79%)
- Consumer Staples: RAD (13.02 mln -4.42%), KR (7.11 mln -2.74%)
- Telecommunication Services: FTR (11.46 mln +0.36%)
Today's top relative volume (current volume to 1-month average daily volume)The Industrials sector (XLI) is trading -0.1% today, in-line with the broader market (SPY -0.1%). In a slow day for the Industrial Sector, In't Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY +0%) reports February traffic.
Earnings/Guidance
News
Broker Research
Upgrades
Other
The broader market is on pace for a flat close, albeit modestly lower at the moment led by the S&P 500 which is down about 3 (-0.13%) to 2378, the Dow Jones Industrial Average loses about 21 (-0.10%) to 20981, and the Nasdaq Composite sheds about 6 (-0.10%) to 5855. Action has come on mixed average volume (NYSE 292 vs. avg. of 307; NASDAQ 830 mln vs. avg. of 778), with decliners outpacing advancers (NYSE 1186/1735, NASDAQ 1037/1674) and new highs outpacing new lows (NYSE 40/28, NASDAQ 38/24).
Relative Strength:
Mexico-EWW +2.2%, Cocoa-NIB +2.1%, Brazil-EWZ +2.0%, Italy-EWI +1.7%, Latin Am. 40-ILF +1.7%, Spain-EWP +1.6%, Russia-RSX +1.4%, Belgium-EWK +1.2%, US Oil-USO +1.0%, Shipping-SEA +0.7%, Social Media-SOCL +0.6%, Biotech-IBB +0.5%, Oil Svcs.-OIH +0.5%, US Fincl. Svcs.-IYG +0.4%.
Relative Weakness:
Short-Term Futures-VXX -2.5%, Emrg. Mkts. M. East&Africa-GAF -1.8%, Jr. Gold Miners-GDXJ -1.4%, Retail-XRT -1.4%, S. Korea-EWY -1.2%, REIT-ICF -1.2%, US Real Estate-IYR -1.0%, Silver Miners-SIL -1.0%, Clean Energy-PBW -0.9%, New Zealand-ENZL -0.8%, Australia-EWA -0.5%, Israel-EIS -0.3%, Taiwan-EWT -0.3%, Pacific-VPL -0.3%.
- Peregrine Pharma (PPHM +11.55%) Ronin Capital discloses 6.8% active stake; may also wish to engage in dialogue with officers, directors and representatives
- Xbiotech (XBIT +7.98%) announces a registered direct offering of $31 mln worth of common shares completed from a shelf registration at $13.00/share
- Dermira (DERM +3.02%) presented new data in primary axillary hyperhidrosis & acne at American Academy of Dermatology 2017 Annual Meeting (Stock Price: 35.43)
Decliners on news:- Scynexis (SCYX -18.65%) delays the initiation of any new clinical studies with the IV formulation of SCY-078 until the FDA completes a review of all available pre-clinical and clinical data of the IV formulation of SCY-078
- HMS Holdings (HMSY -4.06%) files to delay its 10-K; is continuing to evaluate whether this issue affects its consolidated financial results, primarily focusing on prior periods in which revenue relating to the CMS business was recorded
- Karyopharm Therapeutics (KPTI -15.9%) announced the results of a planned interim analysis of the Phase 2 SOPRA study evaluating single agent selinexor in relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia
Gainers on earnings:- Bioscrip (BIOS +20.89%) reports Q4 (Dec) results, beats on revs; guides FY17 revs below consensus
- AcelRx (ACRX +7.03%) reports Q4 EPS of ($0.21) vs ($0.23) Capital IQ Consensus; revs $6.4 mln vs $3.7 mln Capital IQ Consensus
- OvaScience (OVAS +7.38%) reports Q4 net loss per share of ($0.64) vs. ($0.59) CapitalIQ Consensus; revenue of $121K
Decliners on earnings:- CytoSorbents (CTSO -2.68%) reports FY16 results/provides Q1 guidance
- Cooper (COO -2.15%) beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; guides FY17 EPS in-line, revs in-line
Upgrades/Downgrades:Biggest point losers: COST 170.84(-7.14), NTNX 24.68(-6.44), COO 195.87(-5.27), PLCE 99.3(-3.3), REN 43.94(-3.06), PRTA 57.27(-2.8), KITE 72.39(-2.71), AYI 211.65(-2.36), GKOS 45.37(-2.33), FRED 16.16(-2.16), KPTI 11.75(-2.09), SPG 179.15(-1.99), REG 67.14(-1.99), CHTR 322.03(-1.92), PRGO 73.66(-1.9), AAP 155.49(-1.87), RCL 94.91(-1.79), MLM 217.23(-1.79), M 31.53(-1.7), EDU 49.62(-1.63), ORLY 270.43(-1.55), TDOC 22(-1.55), SHAK 33.66(-1.51), GD 189.58(-1.47), HLT 56.71(-1.46)