COT

Hello traders! My congratulations to you on Father's Day!

What happened in Crude Oil and natural gas that week? We will discuss in this short video. 

And I want to make new forecasts in Copper (HG), Cocoa (CC), and New Zealand dollar (6N) according to new imbalances which happened that week.

Thank you very much for watching! And wish you a perfect week.

Hello traders, hope you are doing well 👍

Today I see two opportunities in Sugar (SB) and the Mexican Peso (6M). Let's start with the second one.

● The last strong involvement of sellers in this asset was on level 0,05546$. It matches with the commercial level also, where hedgers added more than 20% of short contracts in the past.

Market maker absorbed this position and apparently unloaded it along the way to break out of market highs. (Watch)  

Now all the passengers are liquidated and we are ready to take bearish 🐻 movement when the ice line will be broken.

● According to Sugar (SB) vice-versa I see the buying opportunity. 🦬

After the involvement of sellers created by bid HFT volumes on the market bottom and after the divergence of Deltas. If the bearish parabola will be broken on Monday, hope to see the movement to the 26$ price zone. (Watch) 

Hello dear traders! 

●  So brave Bears 🐻 started in S&P 500 and lost everything by the end of the week

●  What will be next? now it is difficult to predict.

Nasdaq made an impudent bullish workout of the support 👏 

Hello traders!

The time has come! Sell in May and RUN away. 🏃‍♂️

Today I want to give you a long-term forecast.

I have a Bearish view on all American Indices S&P500 (ES), Nasdaq (NQ), and Dow Jones (YM).

● I never saw such a big amount of Bid HFTs with no one ASK, even a little!!! 😱 

● The market made a breakout of the important resistance level on the daily chart and all the Bear passengers are exhausted to wait falling

Good evening, traders! 

Today observed all the assets, but exceptionally don’t see potential understandable scenarios 🤷‍♂️ Everything went on Thursday and Friday.

🔹 British pound this week showed us how amazing involvement in buys looks like. (Watch) 

How long does it take for the pattern to be created and how quickly should a decision be made on it, — only 15 minutes after the formation of HFT volumes. So fast reaction from the market makers limit orders.

Our mind is rather inert and in good situations, he especially begins to hesitate “Can we wait a little more, maybe a little more to see what will be around the corner?” As a result, the next 15-minute candle already changes the risk-reward ratio by 2 times! Not in our favor...

An excellent quote by Linda Raschke fits here: “In trading, as in fencing, there are either quick or dead.”

Markets operations are based more on psychology than on fundamentals, says El Weiss in Jack Schwager's book “The New Market Wizards”. “Markets are completely based on human psychology, and by charting markets, you are only converting human psychology into graphical form.”

​​​​​​​Good evening, traders! 👋

Today I decided to make a video market forecast highlighting situations in British Pound (6B), Aussi (6A), Coffee (KC), Crude and Brent Oil (CL, BR).

Also measured possible continuations of scenarios that I executed in my previous Sunday forecast.

This 11-minute video is for you today 

Thank you very much for watching.

Have a good week!

Good evening, TVT traders! 

Today I have a few forecasts for you in Swiss Frank (6S), Dow Jones (YM), and Crude Oil (CL).

🔹 Swiss Frank (6S) has enough information to make a forecast that the price will go to test the zone 1.1150, where liquidity is concentrated. Despite we see that the price closed above commercial resistance, where hedge funds added their long position by 30% for the third week in a row. OI increased by +6,7%. Also, the trading week closed above technical resistances on the 15M charts. But no energy for further rising, and in such case downside movement is more probable. (Watch)

🔹 As for Dow Jones (YM) (Watch)

Good Sunday, traders!

Let's measure the market situation after this volatile week.

▪️ Last time we expected falling in Euro. This occurred not on Monday-Tuesday, but on Wednesday we had a downside reaction on 400 futures points. But then the market again returned to balance and returned almost all weekly losses. (Watch) 



I think that it will continue falling, but of course Till FED by the 22 of March the market will be in a state of uncertainty and low liquidity. 

▪️ Opinion about the grain market, particularly Corn (ZC) (Watch) 

Good evening, traders!👋

Today I want to measure a Canadian Dollar (6C). 

▪️ So we see how the price came to the solid technical support on the daily chart. (watch) 

But look at significant block trades on the options market passed on strike 0,74. 

▪️ Moreover, on the 15M chart, we also came to double strong volumetric support zone. (watch) 

Good Sunday, traders!

According to the latest news from CFTC, fresh reports on a regular 3 days delay basis we will receive only after the middle of March. (( 

Until then they will recover for unreleased reports.

“Following the ION cyber-related incident, reporting firms are continuing to experience some issues submitting timely and accurate data to the CFTC. As a result, the weekly Commitments of Traders (CoT) report that normally would have been published on Friday, February 17, will be postponed.

“CFTC staff intends to resume publishing the CoT report as early as Friday, February 24, 2023. Staff will begin with the CoT report that was originally scheduled to be published on Friday, February 3, 2023. Thereafter, staff intends to sequentially issue the missed CoT reports in an expedited manner, subject to reporting firms submitting accurate and complete data.  Staff anticipates that, pending the timely, accurate and complete submission of backlogged data by reporting firms to the CFTC, these missed CoT reports will be published by mid-March.  After that, CoT report publication will resume its usual weekly schedule.”

For the next week, I don’t see some exciting pictures for today. Moreover, on Sunday we have Holyday in US and Canada.

Only Cocoa (CC) shows us interesting backgrounds for correction. (Watch) 

We need more movements to discover something interesting the next week.

Have a good Sunday!